The most recent reported hail day was 2024-12-31 -- 1 year ago, with nothing reported since. Stafford County is hit in most years. The largest stone on record here is 2.25 inches and 2.2 times the National Weather Service's 1 inch severe criterion, reported on 2021-07-29 near Falmouth.
Colored swath = NOAA MRMS radar-estimated hail size; dots = NOAA SPC reports in Virginia. Radar-indicated, not a guarantee of damage.
The last hail here fell on 2024-12-31, around Garrisonville. A free SwathIQ account -- hand-reviewed, invite within 24-48h -- pulls Stafford County addresses inside a hail swath above your size threshold into a door-knock list you can export, scoped to your approved markets.
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See call-center options ->NOAA's Storm Prediction Center has logged 18 separate hail days here since 2010 -- 1.1 a year over 17 years of record. Those days carry 35 separate reports between them, two or three on a typical one. 6 of those 17 years produced none at all. One year dominates the record: 2012 alone produced 4 of the 18 days. The last five years track the long-run rate, with 4 days since 2022.
Most hail here stays under 2 inches: only 1 of the 18 days on record passed it, 6%, the last on 2021-07-29. Those big days do not follow the county's usual calendar: most of them fall in July, not June. Golf-ball size is rarer still: 1.75 inches or more on 3 of the 18 days.
Across the whole of Virginia, see the Virginia hail map and history.
Reports cluster nearest Garrisonville -- 5 of the county's 18 hail days -- then Falmouth (3), Holly Corner (2), Roseville (2) and Arkendale (2). Beyond those, NOAA names Brookfield on more than one hail day apiece.
| Place | Hail days since 2010 | Largest stone |
|---|---|---|
| 2 E Roseville | 2 | 1.75″ |
| 2 Wnw Arkendale | 2 | 1.00″ |
| 2 Wsw Garrisonville | 2 | 1.00″ |
| 3 Nw Falmouth | 2 | 1.00″ |
| 2 Wnw Falmouth | 1 | 2.25″ |
The season runs May through August: 15 of the 18 hail days on record fall in those 4 months (83%). June is the single busiest month, with 6 of them (33%). That peak sits inside the window rather than at either end. Hail has also been reported in February, April and December, outside that window. Reports span 7 of the 12 calendar months; the other 5 have never produced one.
| Month | Hail days |
|---|---|
| February | 1 |
| April | 1 |
| May | 5 |
| June | 6 |
| July | 1 |
| August | 3 |
| December | 1 |
That day put 2 reports on the map, the biggest 1 inch near Garrisonville. No hail day has been reported here yet this year.
| Date | Max hail | Reports |
|---|---|---|
| 2024-12-31 | 1.00″ | 2 |
| 2024-08-29 | 1.25″ | 1 |
| 2024-04-15 | 1.00″ | 1 |
| 2023-06-16 | 1.00″ | 1 |
| 2021-07-29 | 2.25″ | 5 |
| 2019-05-25 | 1.00″ | 1 |
| 2017-05-30 | 1.75″ | 4 |
| 2017-02-25 | 1.75″ | 6 |
The colored swath is NOAA's MRMS radar estimate of the largest hail per ~1 km cell; the dots are SPC ground reports. Yellow is about an inch, red 1.5 to 2″, purple 2″ and up (hail size vs roof damage). On this county's worst day the reports reached 2.25 inches, which is the purple band. Look up a street address with the hail history by address tool.
The nearest counties with a page of their own: Spotsylvania County (21 hail days), Prince William County (17) and Culpeper County (18). Stafford County sits in between.
Spotsylvania County · Prince William County · Culpeper County
Back to the Virginia hail map or the U.S. hail map.
Data & method: NOAA/NWS Storm Prediction Center reports + NOAA MRMS MESH radar, Stafford County, Virginia only. Radar-indicated and observation-based -- informational only, not a guarantee of damage or a valid claim.